On the 22nd, a car parked next to the women's military academy was blown up in Tripoli, Libya.

 

On the 21st, Libyan opposition forces invaded the Libyan capital Tripoli. So far, Gaddafi's eldest son Muhammad Gaddafi has been under house arrest, his second son Saif Gaddafi and his third son Saadi have been arrested, but so far no trace of Gaddafi has been found. Libyan "national Transitional Council" member Abdullah mekhub said in the early morning of the 22nd that the opposition was searching for Gaddafi in the whole city.

 

Claiming to stay in Tripoli

 

Since NATO bombed Libya, Gaddafi has rarely appeared in public. For nearly a month, Gaddafi has only transmitted information to the people through recording.

 

When the opposition troops arrived in Tripoli, Gaddafi made three recorded speeches in succession, and made the last recorded speech at 1 a.m. on the 22nd. In the recording, Gaddafi called on the people to spontaneously take to the streets to protest the "aggression" of the opposition and the West. Gaddafi said that if the people in the capital do not take action against the opposition, "Tripoli may become a sea of fire."

 

Gaddafi insisted in the recording that he was still in Tripoli, but did not disclose the specific hiding place. At the same time, he also called on tribal leaders to send armed forces into the capital to resist the opposition. Gaddafi said: "do you want Tripoli to become Baghdad?"

 

The convoy surrendered to the opposition

 

As of noon on the 22nd local time, most areas of Tripoli have fallen into the hands of the opposition. Abdullah mahubud, a member of the Libyan opposition "national Transitional Council", confirmed that opposition forces have controlled Tripoli and are searching for Gaddafi throughout the city.

 

Gaddafi's government forces exchanged fire with the opposition near the aziziya barracks, which is regarded as Gaddafi's hiding place. Arab media quoted Libya's "national Transitional Council" as saying that the convoy responsible for Gaddafi's security had laid down their arms and surrendered to the armed opposition. Gaddafi often lives in the aziziya barracks, but I don't know whether he was still in the barracks when the opposition forces entered Tripoli.

 

Gaddafi's hiding place is unknown. "It is difficult for Muammar Gaddafi, chairman of the Libyan national Transitional Council, to determine whether he has fled at this stage. One possibility is that Gaddafi is still in the aziziya military camp. A diplomat who has contacted Gaddafi in the past two weeks said that there are many bunkers in the aziziya military camp, and Gaddafi "is still in Tripoli, possibly in the residence of the aziziya military camp".

 

Abdul Jalil said at a press conference held on the 22nd that if Gaddafi was captured alive, he would be given a fair trial. (Zhang Le)

 

reaction

 

Many countries demanded that Gaddafi step down

 

Egypt recognizes the opposition regime as the legitimate government of Libya

 

After the Libyan opposition forces invaded Tripoli, the United States and some western countries successively expressed their positions and urged Gaddafi to step down immediately.

 

On the evening of the 21st, US President Barack Obama delivered a speech, saying that all the signs in Tripoli showed that the Gaddafi regime had reached the "verge of collapse". He called on Gaddafi to give up power and avoid more deaths and injuries.

 

A spokesman for the EU foreign ministry said on the 22nd that the Gaddafi regime has come to an end. The EU called on Gaddafi to step down quickly to avoid more bloodshed. The prime minister's office at 10 Downing Street in London also issued a statement saying that Gaddafi's "doomsday is coming" and that Gaddafi "has committed appalling crimes against the Libyan people". The French presidential palace also announced that President Sarkozy hoped that Gaddafi would immediately hand over power to "avoid the suffering of the Libyan people from useless war again".

 

In addition to calling on Gaddafi to step down quickly, some countries are still preparing for the "post Gaddafi era". Egyptian Foreign Minister Alabi announced on the 22nd that Egypt recognizes the national Transitional Council of the Libyan opposition as the legitimate government of Libya. The Secretary General of the Arab League announced that the Arab League maintains the position of "unity" with the Libyan opposition regime. (Zhang Le)

 

observation

 

Four possible outcomes for Gaddafi

 

South Africa did not send a special plane to pick up Gaddafi, Russia will never take him in, and the United States denied that Gaddafi fled

 

With the fall of the capital Tripoli and the arrest of three sons, the future of the former "arrogant and strong man" Gaddafi immediately attracted the attention of the whole world.

 

Ending 1: missing

 

Before the rebels invaded Tripoli, analysts tended to believe that Gaddafi was currently in the aziziya barracks.

 

U.S. media quoted a diplomat as saying that Gaddafi is still not leaving. "He is still in Tripoli, at the residence of his azizia barracks." The diplomat, who declined to be named, said he had seen Gaddafi in the barracks in the past two weeks.

 

The diplomat also said that although the aziziya barracks are often attacked by NATO, Gaddafi can continue to disappear for a period of time due to the large number of underground bunkers. British media said Gaddafi must have predicted that the barracks would be besieged. Even if the barracks were lost, Gaddafi was able to continue to hide.

 

Outcome 2: resistance

 

Wang Lian, a professor of international politics at Peking University, said in an interview that Gaddafi has a strong character and has repeatedly said that he will not leave Tripoli and will "fight at the last moment". If he is still in Libya, he is likely to resist to the end like Saddam in 2003 and will not take refuge in any country.

 

Just defected former Libyan Prime Minister jalud said on the 22nd, "Gaddafi will not surrender or commit suicide."

 

Ending 3: Escape

 

US media analysis said that Gaddafi was secretly transferring property when the opposition began to attack zawiya, which showed that Gaddafi had long planned to leave Tripoli. Gaddafi's potential escape destinations include Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Tanzania, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Chad and South Africa.

 

Arab media said Gaddafi was seeking political asylum with South Africa and was in contact with Zimbabwe and other countries. On the 22nd, South Africa denied that it would send a chartered plane to receive the news of Gaddafi's asylum in the country. Russia also announced that it would never accept Gaddafi. "We don't have any information about him leaving Libya," said Dave Lapan, a spokesman for the U.S. Department of defense

 

Outcome 4: Trial

 

Zhang Xiaodong, a researcher at the Institute of West Asia and Africa of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that if Gaddafi is arrested, his only option is to stand trial, because he now has no bargaining chips.

 

At present, Gaddafi has been indicted by the International Criminal Court and will be indicted by domestic courts after his arrest. No matter where he is finally tried, Gaddafi will not have a good result.

 

Wang Lian believes that for Gaddafi's supporters, the pre-trial leader is undoubtedly the biggest humiliation and the most powerful deterrent to them. For the opposition itself, this is a great opportunity to show its legitimacy and democracy to its people and the international community.